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Tuesday, August 31, 2004Well whatdya know? Abbott has claimed a coup in opening a new batch of Medicare offices.
"It's the first significant expansion of Medicare offices in more than 10 years," said Abbott.
Well without splitting hairs mate, who has been in power for 8 of those 10 years? So what he is saying is "we having done bugger all since we came into government". I couldn't have put it better myself. Now I wonder if the new offices would happen to be in marginal seats. I'll have a look at that and get back to you.
OK, here are the new offices and the state of the electorates. Marginals are in bold:
Leichhardt Labor 21.3%
Tuggerah Liberal 0.4%
Cranbourne Labor 7.9%
Elanorah Liberal 12.2%
Maroochydore Liberal 9.2%
Joondalup Liberal 6.0%
Gungahlin Labour 12.7%
Palmerstone Country Liberal 0.1%
So only two real marginals there. But two on the slimmest of margins. In fact on closer inspection 2 of the top 3 slimmest held seats have magically got a new Medicare offices! Why did Canning, WA miss out? I'll watch out for a mysterious new fountain of wealth to appear in Armadale to make up for missing out in the next few weeks.
Lets now look at the electorates positively affected by the higher rebates to bulk billing GPs as released on 16th August. I need to locate the electorates for a few of theses areas, so help would be appreciated.
Australian Capital Territory Both Safe Labor Seats
Beaudesert Shire Part A, QLD* Liberal 7.0%
Darwin City, NT* Liberal 0.1%
East Metropolitan (Perth), WA* Labor 1.8%
Eastern Outer Melbourne, VIC* Labor 5.3%
Frankston City, VIC* Liberal 5.2%
Gosford-Wyong, NSW* Liberal 7.0%/Liberal 0.4%
Greater Geelong City Part A, VIC* Labor 8.5%
Greater Townsville Liberal 1.5%
Ipswich City, QLD* Liberal 6.6%
Litchfield Shire, NT* Either CLP 0.1% or ALP 5.3%
Melton-Wyndam, VIC* Labor 12.1% - Julia Gillard's seat!
Mornington Peninsula Shire, VIC* Liberal 5.2%
Newcastle, NSW* Labor 6.9%
Palmerston-East Arm, NT* Liberal 0.1%
Pine Rivers Shire, QLD* Liberal 6.0%
Queanbeyan, NSW* Liberal 1.7%
Southern Adelaide, SA* Liberal 7.4%/Liberal 1.0%
South Eastern Outer Melbourne, VIC* Liberal 8.4%
South West Metropolitan (Perth), WA* Labor 2.0%
Yarra Ranges Shire Part A, VIC* Liberal 7.2%/Liberal 3.7%
So topping the charts of "incentives" from Tony Abbott are Palmerston-Darwin (Solomon) and Dobell. I think I might vote Liberal this election and try and return my seat to marginal status. That way my vote will directly benefit me and bugger everyone else. Hang on, that's the attitude of most Liberal voters. So far The Daily Flute is proud to award the Mad Monk with the title "Pork King 2004". Come on Brendan Nelson, show us your cash.
(sung to the tune of Top of the World)
Such a feelin's comin' over me
There is personal gain in most everything I see
Not a cloud in the sky
And no tears in my eyes
Coz I'm living my Christian right Australian dream
I'm on the top of the world lookin' down on the nation
And the only explanation I can find
Is the love that I've found ever since John's been around
Your vote's put me (and not the poofs, bludgers and muslims) at the top of the world
Just a shame Howard didn't pass on his non-suing wisdom, but then I suppose that was a matter of conscience and since Abbott and Costello have none it wouldn't of mattered.
Monday, August 30, 2004Wahay, I knew that doddering daiquiri dickhead Downer wanted to invade our "cousins". Now the armed forces are tooling up nicely to accomplish this aim. I expect to get my conscription notification any second and boy what a party that will be. I can't wait to whack on a bit of Wagner and bomb the poop out of Wellington. The first target should of course be Sauron, followed by Saruman and that leftie Sheila, Helen Clark (my mum used to cut my hair like hers when I was 9). Then we'll fly south and occupy Footrot Flats and commandeer Duncan "Galloping Twat" Kerr to rustle up a hearty combat stew. We will have to buy some extra surveillance systems or "smart fridges" as they're known to gas any Mainland Colby sized spies lurking around by the butter.
Sunday, August 29, 2004Australia, this is your choice in six weeks time
To quote Howard from AM this morning:
CATHERINE MCGRATH: Now, you said just then it's a mistake to draw slavishly on historic comparisons, but isn't that what you're doing when you say that interest rates are higher, historically under Labor Governments?
JOHN HOWARD: It's a fact...
CATHERINE MCGRATH:..aren't you drawing there on historic comparisons?
JOHN HOWARD: No, the point I am making... you're drawing a political comparison, because situations are different. And the reality is that Labor Governments over the last 30 years have always delivered higher interest rates.
Well lets look at the fact (from Economagic.com):
Red = Labor government, blue = liberal. So there you have it. The 24 carat fact is that in the last 30 years, interest rates were at their highest Ausust 1982 under Fraser at 20.76%. For crying out loud, even blank cheque Whitlam "kept" them lower than Fraser. Now Howard cannot hide under "he was not advised of this" as he was the sodding treasurer. There rests the case for the god damn prosecution. You are a liar little Johnny.
Did anyone notice the signs of sweat on Howards top lip when he announced the election? Did anyone hear him on AM this morning. Perhaps he is getting a bit frayed, perhaps not. The ALP still need a killer blow on this dude as the journos don't seem to be doing their job. How about the ALP just make up a load of bollocks and just repeat it in answer to any question going. "The Liberals fuck furniture" would be a good start. The language of what the libs say really can betray their philosophy at times. When did Medicare (the universal public health system) become merely the "Medicare Safety-Net"? How is this different to a two tier health system?
All we are going to hear is "Labor fuck interest rates" for the next six weeks, and it will be enough to sway the fuck-knuckle "I just make my mind up when I vote coz I don't really follow politics" tosser jism jugglers that decide our fate every fucking time. And then you have wankers like that plumber who did the "Your Shout" spiel on Insiders on Saturday. What a drop kick fucktard. "I don't think Howard would lie because he seems like a nice bloke". Stick to getting the shit out of drains arsehole.
Thursday, August 26, 2004Wow, don't mess with the doods on the Spin starts Here! Still the dopey plagarising cow did ask for it. What is the point of having a blog filled by someone elses thoughts? I would love to bag Australian Idol on a regular basis, but TSSH does it too well already. Anyway, the issues of the moment in my head are: If Howard supports the free market, then why the hell is he subsidising private health and education. I loved the way the latest inexplicable private health insurance bribe was announced ion front of a strengthening medicare poster. How the fuck does that work? Let's give the old people more money for private health instead of spending the money on public health. When will everybody realise that these tossers are ideolically against state funded anything?
Thursday, August 19, 2004Downer, oh Downer, why are you such a gold plated twat? Is the Pacific too stable a place for you at the moment? Have the big bullies in Beijing been threatening to take away your free trade lunch money again? It looks like you are pissing people off again. You give people who are picked on at school a bad name, because they usually don't incite it. But you, you puffed up windbag would have deserved every kick in your privileged arse got. Who is next in the region for a tongue lashing? Give Indonesia a bollocking, they've just been sitting there haven't they? How about New fucking Zealand? Lets start a war with the funny speaking bastards, that'll teach them to vote labor. Howard, can you put Alex in his room for a while, he's been very naughty.
Wednesday, August 18, 2004Today's SMH quotes an anonymous source with a real bombshell. Jordana, the PM's senior advisor was told that the photographs of the children overboard were misleading. If this is true, then both Reith and Howard's staffers knew the truth well before the election. Now can we seriously believe that Howard still was not told? Who is left? Henry the Janitor? Unfortunately the pessimism of one of my earlier posts seems to be borne out. The 7:30 Report last night basically said that people really couldn't give a stuff about this issue. The liberal voters think that it's a smear, labor think that Howard is evil. There doesn't appear to be an effect on that strange species, the swinging voter. How come the government is always decided at the last minute by the 2% of the population that can't make up their bloody minds. One of the downsides of compulsory voting is that there is no silent majority waiting to get pissed off enough to deliver a landslide. Polling is never an exact science, but the unknown of how many people will vote can deliver surprise results. Still, it makes the buggers accountable to everyone doesn't it? Could the swinging vote be an anomaly? Do people really change their minds that much, or is the swing the result of the changing population? If people live to be 100 years old, then there is a 1% change in the living population every year through births and deaths. Over three years, that is 3%, more than enough to change a government. Maybe peoples voting patterns are governed by major influences during there pre-voting years. For instance, seeing mum and dad lose their home because of 17% interest rates under a Labor government (whether it would have been less under Liberal is unknown) could make a life long liberal voter out of someone. Perhaps there are glut of people on the voting market that were 15-17 year olds last time the starters pistol fired, that saw the Tampa for what it was. Enough to make a difference?
From the ABC, this is Johnny's dubious victory salute in 2001.
Tuesday, August 17, 2004Howard is now saying that Jenny McKenry (a former Reithy staffer) did not back up what Scrafton said. He seems to be playing on a lawyeristic technicality that the video and not the photographs were discussed. I listened to this interview on AM this morning and it sounded pretty damning to me. Quotes like:
CATHERINE MCGRATH: Mike Scrafton also said that he told the Prime Minister that no one he spoke to in Defence believed the children had been thrown overboard. What about you, did you believe the children had been thrown overboard?
JENNY MCKENRY: I had no evidence to believe that children were thrown overboard.
Sure, she does stress the video, but is this really the point? I don't think Howard can get away with this one. He is trying to change the argument from "you were told that children overboard was shite" to "I was told that the video was inconclusive". Pressure must be mounting on Howard to call an election, however in a half-Senate election, the Senators are free to hang around to mount an inquiry. Howard could have called a double dissolution election but he is now too late! The latest possible election date is 16 April 2005. This may give the Libs some time to regroup, but under whom? If they act now, they may have a chance, but does Costello have the guts? I think not. Perhaps another outcome, however unlikely, is that Howard resigns. Only 2 other prime ministers have freely left the office, and perhaps history will be kinder if he does so, rather than losing an election. No, I'm waffling now, but would Menzies be the icon he is today if he stayed and lost an election? Given that his departure left open the door to the heirs apparent for a bit of a blue made his leadership look all the stronger. A similar picture to the three stooges vying for Howards job. Time to wake up, Howard will stick around, no one will topple him, the election will be held on Christmas day, and everyone will have forgotten what about the whole saga.